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Fundamental Patterns of Travel Behavior and their Policy Implications for Land-use, Congestion, and Air Quality
 
Principal Investigators
MIT: M.Ben-Akiva, A.Schafer, G.Lleras
UT: T.Furutani, K.Ohta
ETH: A.Simma, K.Axhausen

The growth of motorized travel has generated various external effects, including land-use, congestion, and air quality. To cope with these problems, policy makers worldwide need to see and understand the links between society and our transportation system. Such complete studies have been lacking so far and have led to hurried conclusions on how to affect automobile usage and travel behavior in general.

Goal/Objective
The aim of this research is to perform a large-scale analysis of human travel behavior to help policy makers find the appropriate policies to enable a shift towards more sustainable travel patterns. To do so, the project has the following specific objectives:
  • To examine systematically a large number of urban and national travel surveys that might reveal the existence of regularities in travel demand and supply over space and time
  • To indicate the extent to which travel patters differ across different settings with respect to land use, transport infrastructure and services as well as economic structure and culture
  • To formulate more appropriate policies to induce a shift toward more sustainable travel patterns

Results/Findings
The project team has examined a large number of travel surveys and analyzed travel patterns in different regions and countries using a standardized methodological approach to get an overall picture of mobility. The analysis revealed largely comparable travel behavior across very different settings, such as income, degree of urbanization, etc., underlining that human behavior is very similar.

Having learned that human travel behavior is very similar, it appears that, in principle, one specific package of policies can result in similar consumer reaction in different parts of the world. However, such packages need to be fine-tuned very carefully, due to differences in economic development and other factors.

The next steps in the research include the following:
  • Final data harmonization: Review and standardization of data in order to develop a common data base structure to be used in the modeling phases of the research
  • Initial modeling results: Provide initial modeling results based in the evaluation and analysis made by each participating team over some of the cities, regions or country’s databases
  • Final common models: Definition of a final model to be used in the comparison across cities, regions, regions and countries
  • Policy review and strategy: Analysis of the different underlying forces influencing travel behavior and the implications over land use, congestion and air policy, using the results emerging from the models
  • Final recommendations: Description of travel patterns and recommendation of sustainable transport policies